Friday, 9 May 2014

ARITHMATIC AT LOKSABHA 2014



THE CURRENT GENERAL ELECTION FOR LOK SABHA POSES A GREAT WORK FOR STATISTICIANS AND OTHER RELATED PEOPLES.

THE LAST DISPENSATION OF UPA -2 WAS HEADED BY DR MAN MOHAN SINGH AND WAS CONTROLLED BY THE UPA CHAIRPERSON MRS SONIA GANDHI.

UPA........................................... CONGRESS 206 SEATS
                                                    TMC.............  19 SEATS
                                                     DMK..............18 SEATS
                                                     NCP................ 9 SEATS
                                                     NTNL CONG..3 SEATS
                                                     MUSLIM LG....2 SEATS
                                                     JMM.................2 SEATS
                                                     KERALA CON 1 SEAT
                                                     VCK..................1 SEAT
                                                                      --------------------
                                                     TOTAL           261 SEATS

IN ADDITION,IT GARNERED SUPPORT OF EITHER SP OR BSP ALONG WITH  RJD

AS SUCH,WHENEVER,THERE WAS A THREAT TO IT'S EXISTANCE IN FORM OF TMC WITHDRAWAL OR SP DILLY DALLYING IT GARNERED ENOUGH SUPPORT TO STAY IN THE GOVT.

SP HAD 23 SEATS,WHEREAS BSP HAD 21 SEATS,RJD HAD 4......WHICH TOTALLED TO 46.

AND THERE WERE A SINGLE MP FROM SMALLER PARTIES AND THEY WERE ...9 SEATS

THERE WERE INDEPENDENTS................................... 9 SEATS


SO THERE WAS ALWAYS ROOM 4 REAL POLITICS !


IN THE PRESENT SCENRIO,THE CONGRESS IS SET TO LOOSE HALF OF IT'S TALLY.

SO,IT CAN BE AS SUCH ....CONGRESS 100, SP-20, BSP 20, DMK 10, NCP 5, JMM 5 RJD 5

WHICH TOTALS UP TO 165.

IF THE CONGRESS EVEN THINK OF PROVIDE SUPPORT TO A 3RD FRONT GROUP

IT CAN BE ........JDU.....2O SEATS ,TRS 5 SEATS,BJD 15 SEATS,  WHICH G/TOTAL UP TO 205 SEATS.

SO,IT WILL AGAIN NEED SUPPORT OF LEFT  AND THE INDEPENDENTS

THE OUTCOME OF THIS GRAND ALLIANCE COULD REACH 250 WHICH IS STILL 22 SHORT OF CLEAR MAJORITY..


ON THE OTHER HAND :------ THE NDA WHICH HAD 159 AT THAT TIME,STANDS TO GET THE FOLLOWING.

BJP...200 .SHIV SENA 10, RLD 5 AKALI DAL 5 ,TDP 5.

IT MAY GARNER ANOTHER 25 MP SEATS FROM DIFFERENT PARTYS.

YET,THERE IS THE DILLEYMA   OF FALLING SHORT BY  THE SAME 22 SEATS 4 MAJORITY.  


THESE ARE ROUGH ESTIMATES OF THE VOTER'S RESPONSE THROUGH OUT THE COUNTRY.

SO, IF THAT IS THE CASE,THAN,WHAT WILL HAPPEN THEN.

HORSE TRADING OR ELECTIONS AGAIN !

AND WHO WILL PAY UP THE ELECTION'S COST ,IF ANY,

AMBAANI,ADANI,IRANI OR ANY ONE ELSE !


no one,the price rise will be like a sky rocket and the general public will have to  bear the aftershocks of electioeering earthquake.


WHY,DOES'NT THE COUNTRY MOVE ON TO THE PRESIDENTIAL FORM  OF GOVT !

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